Will Lisa McClain be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 19.4pp shift. Resolution depends on united nations — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: United Nations — https://www.axios.com/2024/11/11/house-republicans-elise-stefanik-leadership-role).
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.