The market moved

-4.8ppin 24h · now

Will "Little House on the Prairie: Season 1" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?

Entertainment · resolves Jul 14 · vol $1.3K

Why

Probability fell modestly down to 1¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 4.8pp shift. Resolution depends on which show this update ranks as the #2 us netflix show — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: which show this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix show.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 14.9h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.