The market moved

-11.5ppin 24h · now 77¢

Will Lockheed Martin (LMT) Q2 total backlog be above $170B?

Other · resolves Jul 23 · vol $113.84

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 77¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 11.5pp shift. Resolution depends on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.