The market moved
-0.5ppin 24h · now 32¢
Will London have 30mm or more of precipitation in May?
Other · resolves May 31 · vol $28.47
Why
Probability fell slightly down to 32¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.5pp shift. Resolution depends on to the total precipitation in mm at heathrow (london airport) in may, 2026, according to the met office — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in May, 2026, according to the Met Office — https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.