The market moved

+12.8ppin 24h · now 39¢

Will London have 80mm or more of precipitation in July?

Other · resolves Jul 31 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 39¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 12.8pp shift. Resolution depends on to the total precipitation in mm at heathrow (london airport) in july, 2026, according to the met office — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in July, 2026, according to the Met Office — https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.