The market moved
-2.5ppin 24h · now 7¢
Will Louis Mapou be the next President of the Government of New Caledonia?
Politics · resolves Jun 30 · vol $43.22
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 7¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 2.5pp shift. Resolution depends on official government information — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Official government information — https://gouv.nc/).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.