The market moved

+15.5ppin 24h · now 40¢

Will Luis Arraez have the highest batting average in the 2026 MLB regular season?

Sports · resolves Sep 28 · vol $538.65

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 40¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 15.5pp shift. Resolution depends on official mlb data — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Official MLB data.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.