The market moved
+14.4ppin 24h · now 87¢
Will Mads Pedersen be awarded the Green Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France?
Other · resolves Aug 9 · vol $2.3K
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 87¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 14.4pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.