The market moved

-6.5ppin 24h · now 63¢

Will Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026?

Other · resolves Jun 6 · vol $400.39

Why

Probability fell decisively down to 63¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 6.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.
-6.5pp · Will Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026? | Orrery