The market moved
-6.5ppin 24h · now 63¢
Will Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026?
Other · resolves Jun 6 · vol $400.39
Why
Probability fell decisively down to 63¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 6.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.