The market moved
+0.5ppin 24h · now 100¢
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 FIDE World Rapid Open Championship?
Other · resolves Dec 28 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://worldrapidandblitz2025.fide.com/).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.