The market moved

+8.0ppin 24h · now 100¢

Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Paris?

Sports · resolves Apr 15 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose decisively up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 8.0pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://www.chess.com/events/info/2025-freestyle-chess-grand-slam-paris.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.