The market moved

+45.0ppin 24h · now 100¢

Will Mamdani say "Commissioner" during the next NYC Mayor's Office announcement?

Politics · resolves Feb 20 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 45.0pp shift. Resolution depends on youtube.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: youtube.com — https://www.youtube.com/nycmayorsoffice).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.