The market moved
-21.0ppin 24h · now 28¢
Will Mamdani say "Economy" or "Economic" during his announcement?
Other · resolves Aug 31 · vol $30.00
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 28¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 21.0pp shift. Resolution depends on @nycmayorsoffice — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: @NYCMayorsOffice — https://www.youtube.com/@NYCMayorsOffice).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.