The market moved
+1.5ppin 24h · now 32¢
Will Mamdani say "Heat" or "Weather" during his announcement?
Sports · resolves Aug 31 · vol $592.98
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 32¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 1.5pp shift. Resolution depends on @nycmayorsoffice — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: @NYCMayorsOffice — https://www.youtube.com/@NYCMayorsOffice).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.