The market moved
+16.5ppin 24h · now 32¢
Will Marine Tondelier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Politics · resolves Apr 17 · vol $144.98
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 32¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 16.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.