Will Mark Rutte say "The President" during his speech on April 9?

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on nato — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: nato — https://www.nato.int/en/news-and-events/events/media-advisories/2026/04/03/nato-secretary-general-to-visit-the-united-states-of-america).
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.