The market moved

+1.1ppin 24h · now

Will Martin Short – “Only Murders in the Building” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a comedy series?

Entertainment · resolves Sep 14 · vol $46.10

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 7¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 1.1pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://theemmys.tv/.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.