The market moved
-2.5ppin 24h · now 61¢
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
Politics · resolves Nov 3 · vol $81.82
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 61¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 2.5pp shift. Resolution depends on associated press — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Associated Press.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.