The market moved

+0.5ppin 24h · now 100¢

Will "Materialists" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $10m and $13m?

Entertainment · resolves Jun 16 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.5pp shift. Resolution depends on to how much “materialists” (2025) will gross domestically on its opening weekend — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: to how much “Materialists” (2025) will gross domestically on its opening weekend — https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Materialists-(2025)#tab=summary.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.