The market moved
+24.5ppin 24h · now 25¢
Will Mathias Vacek finish top 3 in the 2026 Tour De France?
Other · resolves Aug 9 · vol $148.40
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 25¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 24.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.