The market moved

+5.0ppin 24h · now 35¢

Will Maxime Vachier-Lagrave win the 2026 Super Rapid & Blitz Croatia?

Other · resolves Jul 7 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose decisively up to 35¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 5.0pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.