Will Melissa become a category 5 hurricane?

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 27.8pp shift. Resolution depends on official national hurricane center advisories (https://www — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www — https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2025/).
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.