The market moved
+0.7ppin 24h · now 100¢
Will Melissa make landfall at category 1 or weaker?
Other · resolves Nov 30 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.7pp shift. Resolution depends on an initial advisory released by the nhc for whether melissa has made landfall in the contiguous united states at a stren — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: an initial advisory released by the NHC for whether Melissa has made landfall in the contiguous United States at a stren — https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.