The market moved

-4.9ppin 24h · now

Will Meta be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?

Other · resolves Oct 31 · vol $43.40

Why

Probability fell modestly down to 1¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 4.9pp shift. Resolution depends on chatbot arena llm leaderboard — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard — https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.