The market moved
-7.2ppin 24h · now 0¢
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?
Macro · resolves Apr 30 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability fell decisively down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 7.2pp shift. Resolution depends on gdp release — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: GDP release — https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.