The market moved

+0.0ppin 24h · now 27¢

Will Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.5% and 1.0%?

Macro · resolves Jul 30 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 27¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on gdp release — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: GDP release — https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.