The market moved
+0.0ppin 24h · now 12¢
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 3.5%?
Macro · resolves Oct 30 · vol $143.00
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 12¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on gdp release — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: GDP release — https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.