The market moved

-0.4ppin 24h · now

Will Mexico GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?

Macro · resolves Jan 30 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.4pp shift. Resolution depends on gdp release — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: GDP release — https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.