The market moved
-31.9ppin 24h · now 0¢
Will Mexico’s January unemployment rate be 2.6%?
Macro · resolves Feb 26 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 31.9pp shift. Resolution depends on to the unemployment rate (not seasonally adjusted, 15 years and over, total) reported by the national institute of stati — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: to the unemployment rate (not seasonally adjusted, 15 years and over, total) reported by the National Institute of Stati — https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/programas/enoe/15ymas/.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.