The market moved

+46.0ppin 24h · now 100¢

Will Mexico’s January unemployment rate be greater than or equal to 2.7%?

Macro · resolves Feb 26 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 46.0pp shift. Resolution depends on to the unemployment rate (not seasonally adjusted, 15 years and over, total) reported by the national institute of stati — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: to the unemployment rate (not seasonally adjusted, 15 years and over, total) reported by the National Institute of Stati — https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/programas/enoe/15ymas/.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.