Will "Michael Jackson: The Verdict" be the top US Netflix show this week?

Why

Probability rose modestly up to 98¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 4.8pp shift. Resolution depends on which show this update ranks as the #1 us netflix show — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show.
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
• Market resolves in 43.0h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.