The market moved
+20.5ppin 24h · now 45¢
Will Michele Sodano win the 2026 Agrigento mayoral election?
Politics · resolves Jun 8 · vol $2.7K
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 45¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 20.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.