The market moved
-7.0ppin 24h · now 53¢
Will Microsoft release a new MAI thinking model by December 31, 2026?
Business · resolves Dec 31 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability fell decisively down to 53¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 7.0pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://microsoft.ai/models).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.