Will Microstrategy announce selling any Bitcoin August 4-10?

Why

Probability fell decisively down to 63¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 6.0pp shift. Resolution depends on announcements made within the market's designated time frame regardless of when the actual sells were made — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: announcements made within the market's designated time frame regardless of when the actual sells were made — https://www.strategy.com/purchases.
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
• Market resolves in 43.8h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.