The market moved
+3.1ppin 24h · now 11¢
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?
Politics · resolves Dec 31 · vol $1.6K
Why
Probability rose modestly up to 11¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 3.1pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.