Will Mikie Sherrill win NJ Governor Dem primary by >15%?

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 19.0pp shift. Resolution depends on by dividing the total number of votes each candidate receives by the sum of all votes cast in the new jersey governor de — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: by dividing the total number of votes each candidate receives by the sum of all votes cast in the New Jersey Governor De.
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.