Will Milton make landfall as a category 3?

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 43.5pp shift. Resolution depends on an initial advisory released by the nhc for whether this system has made landfall in the contiguous united states at a s — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: an initial advisory released by the NHC for whether this system has made landfall in the contiguous United States at a s — https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2024/MILTON.shtml).
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.