The market moved
+6.3ppin 24h · now 11¢
Will Minerva Torres Shelton win the 2026 El Paso County Judge election?
Politics · resolves Nov 3 · vol $168.36
Why
Probability rose decisively up to 11¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 6.3pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.