The market moved

-0.3ppin 24h · now

Will MiniMax be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?

Other · resolves Sep 30 · vol $7.68

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 3¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.3pp shift. Resolution depends on to the third-highest ranked company based on the arena — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena — https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.