Will Miss Universe 2025 be won by a country that has never won before?

Why

Probability rose modestly up to 0¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 3.5pp shift. Resolution depends on official results as reported by the miss universe organization — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: official results as reported by the Miss Universe Organization — https://www.missuniverse.com/the-competition-thailand/.
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.