The market moved

+0.1ppin 24h · now 100¢

Will 'Moana 2' gross over $200m on 5-day opening?

Other · resolves Dec 2 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.1pp shift. Resolution depends on to the the numbers figures provided under weekend box office performance for the 5-day weekend (which typically includes — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 5-day weekend (which typically includes — https://the-numbers.com/movie/Moana-2-(2024)#tab=summary.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.