The market moved
-10.8ppin 24h · now 0¢
Will "Moana" 3rd Weekend Box Office be at least 13m?
Entertainment · resolves Jul 26 · vol $121.20
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 10.8pp shift. Resolution depends on to how much "moana (2026)" weekend box office will gross domestically on its third weekend — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: to how much "Moana (2026)" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its third weekend — https://www.the-numbers.com/).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 12.9h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.