Will "Moana" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m?

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 16¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 31.5pp shift. Resolution depends on to how much "moana (2026)" weekend box office will gross domestically on its third weekend — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: to how much "Moana (2026)" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its third weekend — https://www.the-numbers.com/).
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
• Market resolves in 13.3h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.