The market moved
-1.8ppin 24h · now 2¢
Will Mohammed bin Salman attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
Geopolitics · resolves Jul 7 · vol $736.12
Why
Probability fell slightly down to 2¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 1.8pp shift. Resolution depends on official government information — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Official government information.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.