The market moved

-17.4ppin 24h · now

Will monthly inflation be between 2.3% and 2.5% in January?

Macro · resolves Feb 10 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 17.4pp shift. Resolution depends on to the number the consumer price index (cpi / ipc) increased in january 2026 (variación % mensual total nacional), accor — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) increased in January 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), accor — https://www.indec.gob.ar/).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.