The market moved
+20.0ppin 24h · now 100¢
Will monthly inflation be between 2.4% and 2.6% in November?
Macro · resolves Dec 11 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 20.0pp shift. Resolution depends on to the number the consumer price index (cpi / ipc) increased in november 2025 (variación % mensual total nacional), acco — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) increased in November 2025 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), acco — https://www.indec.gob.ar/).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.