The market moved

-0.5ppin 24h · now

Will monthly inflation be lower than 1.2% in September?

Macro · resolves Oct 14 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.5pp shift. Resolution depends on to the number the consumer price index (cpi / ipc) increased in september 2025 september 2025 (variación % mensual total — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) increased in September 2025 September 2025 (Variación % mensual Total — https://www.indec.gob.ar/).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.