The market moved
-3.3ppin 24h · now 2¢
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.9% or more in June?
Macro · resolves Jul 15 · vol $123.22
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 2¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 3.3pp shift. Resolution depends on bureau of labor — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Bureau of Labor — https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.