The market moved
-3.0ppin 24h · now 11¢
Will Moonshot be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?
Other · resolves Oct 31 · vol $42.80
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 11¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 3.0pp shift. Resolution depends on chatbot arena llm leaderboard — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard — https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.