The market moved
-3.8ppin 24h · now 1¢
Will Moonshot have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026?
Other · resolves Jul 31 · vol $391.79
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 1¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 3.8pp shift. Resolution depends on chatbot arena llm leaderboard — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard — https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.